The world has never lacked for a troubling incident or cause for concern. But there are times when the drumbeats reach a crescendo, and in the case of war, the potential for large scale conflict seems to rise when a hegemon begins declining, and rival powers see their opportunity to increase their share. Ray Dalio, having made his success running the world’s largest global macro hedge fund and authoring several books on the major forces shaping world history, recently raised his estimate on the chance of World War III occurring in the next two years from 35% to 50%. Given how high the stakes are in that outcome, those are not the most encouraging odds. Tonight, we are joined by returning guest Lance to discuss the recent conflicts in the Middle and Near East, as well as the potential for such in the Far East and the general escalation amongst the nuclear armed superpowers.
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Very special guest General Lance
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with Adam Smith and Hans Lander
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-- References --
- Dr. Strangelove, Kubrick (1964)
- Black Swan, Taleb (2007)
- Can the Navy Defend Its Aircraft Carriers From Death by Submarine?, Hollings (2022) - https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/can-navy-defend-its-aircraft-carriers-death-submarine-199177
- WAR ROOM - THE MODERN PELOPONNESIAN WARS feat. Myth of the 20th Cent., Lances Legion (2022) -
- Superpower Rivalry in the 21st Century, Myth of the 20th Century (2023) - https://myth20c.wordpress.com/2023/06/20/superpower-rivalry-in-the-21st-century/
- Saudi Arabia and the (End of the) Petrodollar, Myth of the 20th Century (2023) - https://myth20c.wordpress.com/2023/07/23/saudi-arabia-and-the-end-of-the-petrodollar/
- Americans, Weary of Foreign Conflicts, Face Another, New York Times (2023) - https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/21/us/united-states-israel-ukraine-war.html
- What are carrier strike groups, the ships the US sent near Israel?, Atherton (2023) - https://www.popsci.com/technology/us-aircraft-carrier-strike-groups/
- Zelensky begs US for cash on 'credit' to be paid back after the war, Barshis (2023) - https://humanevents.com/2023/11/07/zelensky-begs-us-for-cash-on-credit-to-be-paid-back-after-the-war
- San Francisco using fencing, barriers to secure APEC summit where Xi, Biden will meet, DNYUZ (2023) - https://dnyuz.com/2023/11/13/san-francisco-using-fencing-barriers-to-secure-apec-summit-where-xi-biden-will-meet/
- From Ukraine to the Middle East: On the Brink of World War 3, Dugin (2023) - https://www.geopolitika.ru/en/article/ukraine-middle-east-brink-world-war-3
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