By the standards of any serious political movement, the Democratic Party is in disarray. Its ascendant, winning coalition, forged in the crucible of New Deal pragmatism and later rehabbed via Clintonian triangulation, is fracturing under the weight of an inescapable reality. The gerontocracy that has long steered the party is fading, and the younger radicals poised to inherit its mantle are dangerously untethered from the neoliberal synthesis that once ensured its electoral viability. While visually we think it is just about age, it is not merely a generational shift. It is a crisis of identity and purpose that threatens to render the Democrats a minority party, incapable of governing a nation that remains, at its core, skeptical of ideological extremes.
For decades, the Democratic Party thrived on a delicate balance. Its electorally successful leaders like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, and even the mirage marketing of Joe Biden understood the necessity of marrying pro-business economic policies with social liberalism. This neoliberal compact was not ideological purity. It was flexible. It was strategic pragmatism. By embracing free markets, pulling back from the excesses of the post-Miranda era, and allowed deregulation paired with modest social safety nets, Democrats turned right and found success. Democrats could court corporate donors and suburban moderates while advancing left wing causes like civil rights, environmental protections, and, eventually, same-sex marriage. Theirs was a marriage of convenience. Someone had to make the money to pay for all of the social welfare and paper shuffling nonprofit jobs. The formula was simple: economic growth would underwrite social progress, and the identity voter blocs that would enjoy that social progress made sure that electoral success followed. Clinton’s victory and even Obama’s 2008 win were not accidents but the fruits of a coalition that spanned Wall Street and Main Street, Silicon Valley and the Rust Belt. People forget Obama won perennially red Indiana. Wall Street created the DLC in the ‘80s for such a marriage of money interests and socially focused voters and by 2008, it had sewn the party up.
The problem is that coalition is unraveling, and the culprit is twofold. We see the inevitable decline of the party’s aging leadership and the rise of a younger cadre that mistakes ideological fervor for political strategy. The younger crowd simmered in radical rhetoric of far left academia and online spaces does not understand the marriage of convenience. The gerontocracy best exemplified by former president Biden, Pelosi, and Schumer has clung to power with a tenacity that defies biology. Nancy Pelosi, though no longer Speaker, remains a symbol of the party’s refusal to cede control to fresher voices. Nancy may have been far left socially, but she was the force in DC to ram through Obamacare (and nothing involving a public option) to please the healthcare donors. Their generation understood the neoliberal bargain. They knew that to govern, Democrats must appeal beyond the radical fringe of the base.
But as these Boomers exit the stage, the party faces a void. The problem is not simply that the next generation is younger. It is that it is radical in ways that misunderstand the electorate and the economic realities of governance. Figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar, and their progressive allies represent a shift toward policies like Medicare for All, wealth taxes, reparations, etc. that reject the pro-business ethos that resuscitated the party. These are not mere policy disagreements. They are a repudiation of the neoliberal framework that made Democratic governance possible. There was a reason for passing the 1994 Crime Bill and aggressive policing in cities to end the superpredator era. The cities had to be made safe again to please a lot of big money donors and display good governance for independent voters. The radicals of today argue that the old ways failed, pointing to income and wealth inequality as evidence. They are not entirely wrong if one were to look at things from a communist point of view. This is the problem of the next generation of Democrats: decades of commie indoctrination in school and their media. Their solutions, steeped in moral absolutism that rivals Bolshevik commissars, ignore the political arithmetic of a country where moderates and independents hold the balance of power.
This radical turn is not just a policy problem. It is a full spectrum cultural one. Their latest assassin casually texted pals that hunh, maybe we do need white genocide, as if it was a throwaway comment. The younger Democrats, steeped in the echo chambers of social media and campus activism, have internalized a worldview that prizes ideological purity over coalition-building. They speak of systemic injustices with the fervor of revolutionaries, alienating the very voters Trump won by flipping in 2024. They are out of step with the white working-class, suburban moderates, and increasingly hispanic communities who once formed the Democratic base that made Clinton and Obama’s wins possible. The party’s embrace of identity politics has morphed into a performative orthodoxy that demands constant fealty to ever-shifting social norms and no chance for redemption. This is not the social liberalism of the 1990s, which Clinton carefully messaged as a means to expand opportunity while uniting disparate groups. It is a divisive dogma that fractures the coalition by prioritizing symbolic gestures over substantive policy.
The economic implications are equally dire. The radicals’ rejection of neoliberalism ignores the reality of the Clinton boom that pro-business policies fueled the prosperity that funds progressive priorities. The tech boom boosted the economy so strongly that people could concern themselves with what pundits call luxury beliefs. By demonizing corporations and championing punitive taxes, the new guard risks choking the engine of growth that pays for all the signs they used to wave at protests. Their proposals appeal to the activist base, but are electoral poison in the swing states that decide presidential elections. The 2020 election, where Biden narrowly “defeated” Trump, should have been a warning: even a flawed incumbent in the middle of a once a century pandemic nearly prevailed because voters feared woke overreach.
The crisis is compounded by the party’s failure to cultivate a new generation of pragmatic leaders. The institutions went so radical and demanded strict orthodoxy that there was no room for a Bill Clinton or Dick Gephardt. Both are straight white men from the heartland, so today they would undoubtedly be Republicans. Forget going that far back, Montana had a two term Democrat governor in Brian Schweitzer, and just a decade later, he would not pass the ideological litmus tests. On top of that, the party’s infrastructure, might have to placate donors to keep money flowing but are staffed more and more by young radicals. The USAid money stopped. They have to impress donors to keep their jobs, not just a fellow radical at State shoveling them phony grants. Few if any Democrats have ever told them no, and the last who do are all retirement age. The result is a party adrift, caught between a fading past that worked electorally and a radical future that cannot win.
The Democrats must be honest with their younger cadres and explain the art of coalition-building and the truth about their coalition. This does not mean abandoning all progressive ideals but tempering them with electoral realism. Compromise and cut a fringe thought here and there. Excise some of that woke because no one is buying that sales pitch, including their business wing. This will shock their youth and Peter Pan middle aged Millennials who still believe the fairy tale that they are the plucky underdogs fighting the man.
The alternative is grim for them but good for the rest of America. The Schumers and Pelosis should be honest with their mentees and explain how some woke sloganeering was partially window dressing. If not, they keep losing and America heals. A Democratic Party that continues its leftward drift risks not just defeats in future Novembers but irrelevance. Add in the withering of the university system, and it will be smaller and smaller fights of the purest leftists against one another. The nation’s challenges demand a governing party capable of compromise and competence. If the Democrats cannot rise to the occasion, they will cede the future to a Republican Party that, due to President Trump’s charisma, will and good fortune, has shown a ruthless knack for adaptation. The scarier future is one where these radicals feel denied by their opponents and betrayed by their elder statesmen. One need not read Reddit to know what they fantasize about politically. They have a choice though as all humans do in life. The choice is evolve or perish. History offers no mercy to those who choose the latter.
Great one.
My fear is Republicans are not Trump and don’t want to be. Their fecklessness in not codifying any of his EOs is a dead giveaway of the uniparty system Americans live under. Their actions belie their words.